Monday, August 06, 2007

Weekly Positions Update - 8/06/07

Date Position Qty Month/Yr Contract Strike Call/Put Entry Price Last Price Profit/Loss Market Value
01/22/07 Long 1 DEC 08 Cotton 63.00 70.42 $3,710.00
04/16/07 Long 1 DEC 08 Cotton 64.50 70.42 $2,960.00
07/27/07 Long 1 DEC 07 Coffee 'C' 115.30 122.65 $2,756.25
06/19/07 Long 1 DEC 07 Coffee 'C' 120.50 122.65 $806.25
12/05/06 Long 1 DEC 07 Coffee 'C' 135.25 122.65 ($4,725.00)
03/23/07 Long 1 SEP 08 KC Wheat 502 563 $3,050.00
11/03/06 Long 1 MAY 11 Natural Gas 6.450 7.4650 $10,150.00
03/29/07 Long 1 NOV 09 Soybeans 828 874 $2,300.00
08/11/06 Long 1 MAR 08 Sugar #11 14.50 10.12 ($4,905.60)
06/04/07 Long 2 JUL 08 Sugar #11 10.05 10.28 $515.20
08/01/07 Long 1 JUL 08 Sugar #11 10.48 10.28 ($224.00)
10/18/06 Long 1 JUL 08 Sugar #11 12.08 10.28 ($2,016.00)
03/20/07 Long 1 JUL 08 Wheat 488 558 3/4 $3,537.50
03/21/07 Long 1 JUL 08 Wheat 493 558 3/4 $3,287.50
Net Profit/Loss On Open Positions: $21,202.10

Current Cash Balance $28,489.20
Open Trade Equity $21,202.10
Total Equity $49,691.30
Long Option Value $0.00
Short Option Value $0.00
Net Liquidating Value $49,691.30

Cashed out: $5,000.00
Total value: $54,691.30

Thursday, August 02, 2007

Trade Alert - Bought More Sugar

I couldn't help it - I really think it's waiting to explode...

----------------------------------- T R A D E S C O N F I R M A T I O N S ------------------------------------
THE FOLLOWING TRADES HAVE BEEN MADE THIS DAY FOR YOUR ACCOUNT AND RISK.
TRADE MARKET BUY SELL CONTRACT DESCRIPTION TRADE PRICE CC DEBIT/CREDIT
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
01-AUG-07 NYBOT 1 JUL 08 SUGAR #11 10.48 USD
TOTAL 1 EX- 30-JUN-08
Clearing USD 2.00 DR
Exchange USD 4.13 DR
NFA USD 0.05 DR
Brokerage USD 2.13 DR
Commission USD 9.00 DR
AVERAGE LONG 10.4800

Monday, July 30, 2007

Motley Fool UK Article

Four Ways To Profit From a Soft Commodity Bull Market:
http://www.fool.co.uk/news/investing/investing-strategy/2007/07/17/four-ways-to-profit-from-a-soft-commodity-bull-mar.aspx

Sunday, July 29, 2007

WSJ Article - Feeding Billions, One Grain at a Time

From the front page article in this weekend's Wall Street Journal:

"Dan Basse, president of AgResource Co., a Chicago research firm, estimates that as many as 55 million to 70 million acres of additional arable land may need to come on line globally over the next three to four years just to sustain current agricultural stocks -- already at very low levels.

Many of the pressures facing rice have been building in other agricultural products as well, especially in Asia. After years of healthy gains in production, farmers are also now facing constraints in their ability to increase yields on wheat, barley, palm oil and other crops."

...

"At the same time, demand for some agricultural commodities is expanding at its fastest pace in decades as new markets open up for grains to make ethanol and other types of alternative energy. That has sent grain prices soaring. It also has increased the price of foods that aren't used for alternative fuel, including rice, because farmers are dedicating more land to alternative-energy crops. The amount of land dedicated to rice has fallen to less than 380 million acres from 385 million acres in 1999 and many economists believe it will decline further."

Full article can be read at www.wsj.com (subscription required).

Bottom line? We don't have enough grain to feed everyone, and the ethanol/biodiesel push is exacerbating this issue. Stocks are at record lows, and demand is outpacing supply.


Weekly Positions Update - 7/29/07

Date Position Qty Month/Yr Contract Strike Call/Put Entry Price Last Price Profit/Loss Market Value
01/22/07 Long 1 DEC 08 Cotton 63.00 70.65 $3,825.00
04/16/07 Long 1 DEC 08 Cotton 64.50 70.65 $3,075.00
07/27/07 Long 1 DEC 07 Coffee 'C' 115.30 116.55 $468.75
06/19/07 Long 1 DEC 07 Coffee 'C' 120.50 116.55 ($1,481.25)
12/05/06 Long 1 DEC 07 Coffee 'C' 135.25 116.55 ($7,012.50)
03/23/07 Long 1 SEP 08 KC Wheat 502 581 $3,950.00
11/03/06 Long 1 MAY 11 Natural Gas 6.450 7.3890 $9,390.00
03/29/07 Long 1 NOV 09 Soybeans 828 876 1/2 $2,425.00
08/11/06 Long 1 MAR 08 Sugar #11 14.50 10.28 ($4,726.40)
06/04/07 Long 2 JUL 08 Sugar #11 10.05 10.43 $851.20
10/18/06 Long 1 JUL 08 Sugar #11 12.08 10.43 ($1,848.00)
03/20/07 Long 1 JUL 08 Wheat 488 582 3/4 $4,737.50
03/21/07 Long 1 JUL 08 Wheat 493 582 3/4 $4,487.50
Net Profit/Loss On Open Positions: $18,141.80

Current Cash Balance $28,506.51
Open Trade Equity $18,141.80
Total Equity $46,648.31
Long Option Value $0.00
Short Option Value $0.00
Net Liquidating Value $46,648.31

Cashed out: $5,000.00
Total value: $51,648.31


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