Showing posts with label historical stock market averages. Show all posts
Showing posts with label historical stock market averages. Show all posts

Wednesday, July 08, 2009

Richard Russell on the Disappearing Dividends

Nice scoop by the Daily Crux - Richard Russell's comments about current dividend levels...or lack thereof!

The second quarter of 2009 was a dismal one for corporate dividends. Standard & Poor's recorded an all-time low of 233 dividend increases plus resumptions and extras. During the April through June period, the 7,000 publicly-owned companies that S&P follows, were down 45.8% in dividend increases from a year ago.

Russell has been around the block more than a few times, and is as sharp as they come. Heed his message loud and clear - talk of green shoots is cheap, show us the money!

At historic stock market bottoms, dividend levels typically average around 6%. That's why it's called a bottom...tough to go wrong investing when yields are that high.

Where are yields now? A paltry 3% last time I saw. We'd need to see the S&P around 450 to see dividend levels where they should be at market bottom!

And if you're not buying a stock for the dividend, that means by default you're buying it in hopes of a rising mulitple. Well multiples are quite high across the board right now, and earnings continue to evaporate right before our eyes...so I would take a long, hard look at every stock you own that doesn't yield some serious dough.

Looking for quality, high-yielding stocks? Tom Dyson is your man - check out his 12% Letter here. And Tom knows how to go long AND short...crucial in today's nutty environment.

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