Thursday, December 11, 2008

Yearly Oil Demand Drops for 1st Time in 25 Years

The International Energy Agency projects worldwide oil demand will fall by 200,000 barrels a day, to 85.8 million barrels a day, in 2008.

The IEA expects oil demand to recover next year, estimating an increase of 400,000 barrels a day, or 0.5%.

The oil futures markets appear to be pricing in a much steeper drop in demand - oil bounced $4+ today on this news, combined with a steep slide in the US dollar.

If the supply/demand situation in the oil markets remains tighter than anticipated, we could see a healthy rebound in oil. In fact, we could see one in the short-term regardless, as the entire energy complex appears to be quite oversold at the moment.

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